This morning I checked last year’s stats for the Philly marathon. Of the 6197 finishers, ONLY 449 finished under 3:11. That’s approximately 7% of the field. WHOA!! I heard Philly was an “easy, flat run?!?!” (though… is 26.2 ever “easy”??)
I had a bad run tonight in Central Park. Ran too hard, got cramped up, and had to walk. If that happens in Philly, then the goal is finished. So I’ve made a list of stoppers. Things that will prevent me from 3:11.
1. If it’s a hot day, I’m done (well-done!). In Boston this past summer Elliot and I stopped when it began approaching 90 degrees and walked the 3 miles to get home. I get overheated easily and the sun will just issue me a KO. I’ll finish the race, but I’ll have to start deferring everyone to my backup website, under611.
2. A “bad” run. There is no controlling this. Sometimes I take a one stride and feel great, other times I take that one stride and know right away, without explanation, that every step will be a struggle. I need a GREAT run.
3. Injury. I’ve never had a serious injury, so this shouldn’t be a problem (knock on wood). But, sometimes I get KILLER side pain (tonight). I don’t want to fall behind the clock and play catch up… that’ll be rough.
4. Running years. 3:11 is a VERY AGGRESSIVE first marathon. I have only been running for 14 months and it’s possible I haven’t yet developed the stamina/speed I need.
Despite, all this, I think it’s doable. Karate Kid tonight. Miyagi – [knocks Daniel down] “I tell you what Miyagi think! I think you “dance around” too much! I think you “talk” too much! I think you not concentrate enough! Lots of work to be done! Tournament just around corner!!!“